A new poll produced by YouGov has revealed the latest public opinion on a range of subjects across Wales.

The poll, produced for ITV Wales and Cardiff University, is the first political barometer since May’s Senedd election.

Using a sample size of 1071 adults and conducted between September 13 and 16, here are the key findings.

Falling support for Tories in Westminster and Senedd elections

According to the polling, the Conservatives have seen their ratings drop since the last polling was conducted in May.

In Westminster, the Tories poll 31 points compared to 36 in May. Other parties have shifted less, with Labour sitting still, the Lib Dems and Plaid gaining a point, and Reform and the Greens gaining two points.

Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused, and excluding 16 to 17-year-olds
Conservative 31 (-5)
Labour 37 (-)
Lib Dem 4 (+1)
Plaid Cymru 15 (+1)
Reform 6 (+2)
Green 5 (+2)
Other 2 (-1)

In the Senedd, both the Conservatives and Plaid appear to have moved backwards since May’s election.

In constituencies, Labour has gained a percentage point, while the Tories and Plaid have lost two and one points respectively.

Again, the Lib Dems, Reform and the Greens have gained.

Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer
Conservative 27 (-2)
Labour 37 (+1)
Lib Dem 5 (+2)
Plaid Cymru 19 (-1)
Reform 5 (+1)
Green 4 (+2)
Other 5 (-2)

On the regional list, the Tories and Labour have both made gains, while Plaid has gone backwards.

Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer
Conservative (26 (+1)
Labour 33 (+2)
Lib Dem 4 (-)
Plaid Cymru 19 (-2)
Reform 4 (+2)
Green 6 (+1)
UKIP 2 (-1)
Abolish 5 (-2)
Gwlad 0 (-)
Propel 0 (-1)
Other 1 (-)

Drakeford remains more popular and trustworthy than Johnson

It will come as no surprise to many that Mark Drakeford remains more popular among Welsh voters than Boris Johnson.

The first minister’s positive opinion rating sits at 53 per cent, with 34 per cent of respondents saying they have a negative opinion of him.

The prime minister’s positive opinion rating sits at just 28 per cent, with 64 per cent of respondents saying they have a negative opinion of him.

Compared to the last polls in April, Mr Drakeford’s ratings have increased by three points, while Mr Johnson’s are down by seven.

Positive opinion ratings
Mark Drakeford 53 (+3)
Boris Johnson 28 (-7)

On trust, Mr Drakeford also trumps his UK counterpart.

Positive trust ratings on Covid
Mark Drakeford 55 (-)
Boris Johnson 28 (-6)

Most people remain concerned about Covid

Most people in Wales still appear to be concerned about Covid.

A total of 55 per cent of respondents said they are worried about the virus compared to 43 per cent who said they are not.

Welsh Government performing better on Covid than UK Government

Again, the Welsh Government has come out with a net positive approval on its handling of the pandemic, while the UK Government doesn’t fair well.

UK Government
Well 39 (-15)
Badly 54 (+13)

Welsh Government
Well 67 (-4)
Badly 27 (+4)

Overwhelming number of people favour Welsh approach to tackling pandemic

In line with the support of the Welsh Government, there’s also overwhelming support for the approach taken in Wales compared to that in England.

Since April, the Welsh approach seems to have gathered more support while the approach in England has fallen.

Support for approach in Wales and England
Approach in Wales 65 (+5)
Approach in England 13 (-2)

More people support the introduction of a ‘vaccine passport’

When asked whether they would support or oppose the introduction of vaccine passports, most people were in favour.

Support for a 'vaccine passport'/documentation proving vaccination
Total support 61
Total oppose 28

More support for Welsh Covid inquiry

Finally, there are more people in favour of a public Covid inquiry into the Welsh Government’s handling of the pandemic than against one.

However, a significant number of people still appear undecided.

Support or opposition to a public inquiry into the Welsh Government’s handling of the pandemic
Support 43
Oppose 18
Neither support nor oppose 31

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